FutureCoast Shorelines for High Emissions Scenario SLR
Anticipated positions of Mean High Water Springs per decade, based on a High Emissions Scenario sea level rise projection (RCP8.5, 95thpercentile) and 'do nothing' coastal management approach. Shoreline retreat is limited by underlying physical susceptibility model (the UPSM of Fitton et al., 2017) and up to 25m of erosion is premitted at known artificial coastal defences. Further explanation available within Technical Summary WS2, via www.DynamicCoast.com/reports.
dataset
https://ogc.nature.scot/geoserver/dynamiccoast/wms?request=GetCapabilities&service=WMS
protocol: OGC:WMS-1.3.0-http-get-map
name: dc2mhwsfuturehigh
description: Future MHWS for High Emission Scenario
function: information
protocol: WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link
name: NatureScot OpenData Hub
function: information
protocol: WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link
name: Dynamic Coast
description: Dynamic Coast project website
function: information
https://ogc.nature.scot/geoserver/dynamiccoast/wfs?request=GetCapabilities&service=WFS
protocol: OGC:WFS-1.0.0-http-get-capabilities
name: dynamiccoast:dc2mhwsfuturehigh
description: Future MHWS for High Emission Scenario
function: download
DC2-HES-MHWS-FUT
eng
environment
Natural risk zones
publication
2008-06-01
-8.80
-0.71
60.87
54.63
creation
2021-06-01
publication
2021-07-15
asNeeded
Current Mean High Water Spring line (OS MasterMap High Water Mark © OS 2020 100017908) was projected back along soft shore cross-shore transects by a distance calculated using a modified Bruun Rule and high emission pathway of UKCP18 sea level rise projections (RCP8.5 at 95th percentile, https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/a077f4058cda4cd4b37ccfbdf1a6bd29). Limits to erosion are from the Underlying Physical Susceptibility Model (Fitton et al., 2016; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2016.08.018) and defences data digitised as part of Dynamic Coast phase 2. Transects and therefore FutureCoast lines were not created along tide dominated (salt marsh and estuaries) shores, rocky (non-erodible) shores. For further information, please visit www.DynamicCoast.com/reports. Data Sources o Current Mean High Water Spring line • © OS 2020 100017908 • PSGA o UKCP18 sea level rise projections • Met Office Hadley Centre (2018): UKCP18 Exploratory Extended Time-mean Sea Level Projections around the UK for 2007-2300. Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 2021. https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/a077f4058cda4cd4b37ccfbdf1a6bd29 • OGL o Coastal Erosion Susceptibility Model for Scotland (http://www.dynamiccoast.com/files/reports/NCCA%20-%20Data%20Audit.pdf) • OS – Terrain50 • OSMM – distance derived from coast – PSGA – Derived data open • BGS - Superficial Thickness Model – Rockhead Output – not open but derived data ok for NCCA • SAMS – Wave Exposure Index – Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 o http://marine.gov.scot/maps/780 o https://www.sams.ac.uk/people/researchers/burrows-professor-michael/ (Wave Fetch Model) • SG – Coastal Defences – 2004-2014 – PSGA – Derived data open • OGL
publication
2010-12-08
false
Dataset Not Assessed
ESRI Shapefile
1
Dynamic Coast analyses cannot be used for property-level assessments.
Available under an Open Government Licence: http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
Dynamic Coast Project Manager
NatureScot
custodian
Data Supply
NatureScot
pointOfContact
2023-06-10T10:59:43