Climate change exposure estimates for the UK at 1 km resolution, 1901-2080
This dataset consists of spatially explicit (1 km gridded) metrics of climate change “exposure” (i.e. an index of the amount of expected change in a location) derived from quantifying the difference in observed historical and predicted future climatic conditions. Four comparisons are included between five discrete time periods: 1901–1930 v. 1961–1990; 1961–1990 v. 2010–2019; 2010–2019 v. 2021–2040; and 2021–2040 v. 2061–2080. Full details about this dataset can be found at https://doi.org/10.5285/d370cda8-7d3d-4b62-8d09-23711aa18ac2
dataset
https://data-package.ceh.ac.uk/data/d370cda8-7d3d-4b62-8d09-23711aa18ac2
name: Download the data
description: Download a copy of this data
function: download
https://data-package.ceh.ac.uk/sd/d370cda8-7d3d-4b62-8d09-23711aa18ac2.zip
name: Supporting information
description: Supporting information available to assist in re-use of this dataset
function: information
https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/d370cda8-7d3d-4b62-8d09-23711aa18ac2
doi:
eng
environment
Atmospheric Conditions
publication
2008-06-01
climate change
habitats
National Plant Monitoring Scheme
climate change exposure
ecological monitoring
environmental change
UK-SCAPE
-8.648
1.768
60.861
49.864
1901-01-01
2080-12-31
publication
2023-05-12
For historical and contemporary climate periods, we considered the early 20th Century (1901–1930), mid-late 20th Century (1961–1990), and the last decade (2010–2020). For each period, HadUK-Grid data on monthly precipitation and maximum, minimum and mean temperatures were downloaded at 1 x 1 km resolution; averages for the 1961–1990 period were available, since this is a widely used climate “normal” period; for the other periods annual data were averaged together to create long-term mean datasets. UKCP18 Local data for the coming decades (2021–2040) and later 21st Century (2061–2080) were downloaded at 5 x 5 km resolution and resampled to 1km resolution using bilinear interpolation to match the HadUK-Grid data. For each time period, an extended set of 37 bioclimatic variables were produced from the monthly climate data. These variables were scaled and their dimensionality reduced using a Principal Components Analysis. The first two principal components (PCs), generally reflecting gradients from warmer and drier to cooler and wetter conditions (PC1, 58.25% of total variance) and from wetter (especially in winter) to more temperature-stable conditions (PC2, 21.43% of total variance), were used as a summary of the resulting multivariate climatic “space”. The Euclidean distance between pixels’ (i.e. 1 km sites’) positions in PC1–PC2 space (weighted by the PCs’ eigenvalues) in adjacent time points was calculated and used as an index of a locations’ climate change exposure through time; this approach was used for all four of the time period comparisons deposited here.
publication
2010-12-08
TIFF
The following acknowledgement is required for use of this dataset: The National Plant Monitoring Scheme (NPMS) is organised and funded by the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Botanical Society of Britain and Ireland, Plantlife and the Joint Nature Conservation Committee. The NPMS is indebted to all volunteers who contribute data to the scheme. © UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology © Joint Nature Conservation Committee © Plantlife © Botanical Society of Britain and Ireland
© UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
© Joint Nature Conservation Committee
© Plantlife
© Botanical Society of Britain and Ireland
If you reuse this data, you should cite: Wilson, O.J., Pescott, O.L. (2023). Climate change exposure estimates for the UK at 1 km resolution, 1901-2080. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre https://doi.org/10.5285/d370cda8-7d3d-4b62-8d09-23711aa18ac2
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
pointOfContact
University of York
author
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
author
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
custodian
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
publisher
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
owner
Joint Nature Conservation Committee
owner
Plantlife
owner
Botanical Society of Britain and Ireland
owner
Environmental Information Data Centre
Lancaster Environment Centre, Library Avenue, Bailrigg
Lancaster
LA1 4AP
UK
pointOfContact
2023-05-25T11:25:53