IMPORTANT NOTE: The 2016-based TREND projections are now available. For housing-led projections the Interim 2015-based projections remain the most current. The housing-led projections will be updated when the 2017 SHLAA is published in Autumn 2017. see https://data.london.gov.uk/demography/ for the latest trend GLA projections. From January 2017 the GLA has revised its naming convention for it's population projections. Projections will now be labelled based on the latest mid-year estimate data which informs the projection. As such this set of projections is a 2015-based projection. This set of projections is labelled ‘interim’ in anticipation of a revised set of 2015-based projections which will inform the London Plan. Once released, in spring 2017, those projections will supersede this set. Four variants of local authority level population projections, one ward-level projection and one msoa-level projection are currenty available: Borough Central Trend-based projection (using a 10-year migration scenario) Short-term Trend-based projection (using a 5-year migration scenario) Long-term Trend-based projection (using a 14-year migration scenario) Housing-linked projection incorporating data from the 2013 SHLAA (consistent with the central trend model) Small Area Ward-level projections consistent with the borough housing-led model MSOA-level projections consistent with the borough housing-led model Documentation Methodology papers for all of the projections are availble on the documentation page for this dataset. Reults Updates for the Trend and Housing-led projections are available on the documentation page. A series of ward projection profiles are also available to dowload. Notes A tool detailing the relationships between the various projections and variants can be found here . These projections make no attempt to account for the UK's exit from the European Union.
