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Modelled projections of habitat for commercial fish around North-western Europe under climate change, 2020 to 2060

Publisher
Marine Environmental Data & Information Network
Updated
23 July 2026
Topic
Not set
Licence
Not set

Summary

Environmental Niche Model (ENM) outputs for 49 commercial fish species under climate change until the decade of 2060 around northwestern Europe. A model ensemble of 5 ENMs was used (MaxEnt, Generalised Linear Models, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest and BIOCLIM ), and projections were made under three different emission scenarios: A1B, RCP4.5 and RCP 8.5. The data shows model agreement (normalised to 1) for presence/absence decadal projections from 2020 to 2060. Additionally we provide data on model performance, with the Area Under the Curve (AUC) scores of the Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curve for each of the 5 ENMs trained for each combination of fish species and emission scenario. Only ENMs with an AUC score of at least 0.7 were considered.

Data links

Link Format Preview Updated
Cefas Data Portal – 23/7/2026

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Additional information

Source Metadata
XML, HTML
Date added
24 July 2024
Harvest GUID
CEFAS0eefdf21-91c7-40a3-b12d-5342234d34f4
Extent (Latitude)
52.4595° to 52.4581°
Extent (Longitude)
1.73881° to 1.74086°
Dataset reference date (publication)
2023-06-07
Dataset reference date (revision)
2024-07-24
Dataset reference date (creation)
2023-06-06
Frequency of update
notPlanned
Responsible party
Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft Laboratory (CEFAS) (originator, custodian, distributor); Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) (owner)
ISO 19139 resource type
dataset
Metadata language
eng