Predictions of river temperature and sensitivity to climate change in Scotland

• Published by: Scottish Government SpatialData.gov.scot
• Last updated: 16 February 2024
• Topic: Not added
• Licence: Other Licence ; View licence information

Summary

These layers are the outputs of research which developed a national river temperature model for Scotland capable of predicting both daily maximum river temperature and sensitivity to climate change. The layers show the following:

summermaxtw201516 – Predictions of maximum daily river temperatures for the hottest day between July 2015 and June 2016.

summermaxtw_2003 – Predictions of maximum daily river temperatures for the hottest year in the last 20 years (2003).

summerclimatechange_sensitivity – Predictions of the change in river temperature that would result from a 1°C increase in air temperature.

A fourth layer has been developed to combine the outputs from “summermaxtw2003” and “summerclimatechangesensitivity” into a single layer that can be used to prioritise management where the relative importance of maximum temperature and temperature change are considered to be equal. This was achieved by (1) dividing the predictions of ‘summermaxtw2003’ and ‘summerclimatechangesensitivity’ into 5 equal categories between the minimum and maximum observed values (2) assigning these categories a value ranging from 1 (the hottest / most sensitive rivers) to 5 (the coolest / least sensitive rivers) (3) sum the rankings (-1) to produce an overall priority ranking (1:9) where rivers ranked as 1 are the highest priority for management (i.e. high river temperature and high climate sensitivity) and 9 the lowest.

ManagementPriorityLayer – Management priority on a scale of 1:9 where 1 is the highest priority (i.e. high river temperature and high climate sensitivity) and 9 the lowest.

• Please Note * This layer was derived by the Scottish Government from a licensed dataset. It is not downloadable or routinely available.

The data can be shared on request if a user provides evidence that they hold a licence from the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (UKCEH) for the 1:50,000 Digital River Network (https://www.ceh.ac.uk/data/15000-watercourse-network)

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All datasets from Scottish Government SpatialData.gov.scot

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Data links

Link to the data	Format	File added	Data preview
SRTMN_Management_priority_layer	N/A	16 February 2024	Not available
SRTMN - Management priority on a scale of 1:9 where 1 is highest priority (i.e. high river temperature and high climate sensitivity) and 9 is lowest (hidden when zoomed in past 1:5,000)	N/A	16 February 2024	Not available
SRTMN_summer_max_water_temp_2015_16	N/A	16 February 2024	Not available
SRTMN_summer_max_water_temp_2003	N/A	16 February 2024	Not available
SRTMN_summer_climate_change_sensitivity	N/A	16 February 2024	Not available
SRTMN - Predictions of the change in river temperature that would result from a 1°C increase in air temperature	N/A	16 February 2024	Not available
SRTMN - Predictions of maximum daily river temperatures for the hottest year in the last 20 years (2003)	N/A	16 February 2024	Not available
SRTMN - Predictions of maximum daily river temperatures for the hottest day between July 2015 and June 2016	N/A	16 February 2024	Not available

Additional information

View additional metadata

• Added to data.gov.uk: 2024-02-15
• Access contraints: public access limited according to Article 13(1)(e) of the INSPIRE Directive
• Harvest GUID: Marine_Scotland_FishDAC_1997
• Extent: Latitude: 61.05828° to 54.52108°
• Extent: Longitude: -7.910156° to -0.3955078°
• Spatial reference system: urn:ogc:def:crs:EPSG::27700
• Dataset reference date: 2017-10-23 (publication)
• Frequency of update: Not Planned
• Responsible party: Scottish Government (pointOfContact, custodian, distributor, originator)
• ISO 19139 resource type: dataset
• Metadata language: eng
• Source Metadata: XML
• Source Metadata: HTML

Contact

Enquiries

Scottish Government SpatialData.gov.scot

Licence information

Predictions are plotted on CEH Rivers dataset which is held under license so the underlying dataset cannot be available for download.

Where the predictions are used, reference must be made to the original publication: Jackson, F. L., Fryer, R. J., Hannah, D. M., Millar, C.P., and Malcolm, I. A. (2018) A spatio-temporal statistical model of maximum daily river temperatures to inform the management of Scotland's Atlantic salmon rivers under climate change. Science of The Total Environment., 612, 1543-1558.
The following copyright and acknowledgement should be placed on all copies of information or images derived from the licensed CEH river network data: ‘© Scottish Government (Marine Scotland) [Year]. Based on digital spatial data licensed from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH)' (preceded if appropriate by 'Some features of this map are'). And: 'Contains Ordnance Survey data © Crown copyright and database right [year]'.

The following citation must be included in the reference list of any reports or publications in which the licensed CEH river network data, or derived data, have been used. ‘Moore RV, Morris DG and Flavin RW, 1994. Sub-set of UK digital 1:50,000 scale river centre-line network. NERC, Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford.’