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Peak flow and probability of exceedance data for Grid-to-Grid modelled widespread flooding events across mainland GB from 1980-2010 and 2050-2080

Publisher
Environmental Information Data Centre
Updated
30 July 2026
Topic
Not set
Licence
Not set

Summary

This dataset is a set of 24 gridded netcdf files, each including data describing a total of 14,400 widespread flooding events across mainland GB, with event selection based on a peaks-over-threshold approach. The data describes peak river flow in m3/s and the associated annual probability of exceedance for each 1km grid-square on the GB river network. The data is extracted from daily time series data from the Grid-to-Grid model, using UKCP18 12km regional projections from 12 members of a perturbed parameter ensemble, over the periods Dec 1980 – Nov 2010 and Dec 2050 – Nov 2080 (based on 360-day years). Multi-day events were summarised by taking cell-wise flow maxima. This data was generated for use in analysis of risk through catastrophe modelling using the Future Flows Explorer. It was generated and interpreted by UKCEH, working with Sayers & Partners Consultancy, as part of the AquaCAT project, part of the UK Climate Resilience Programme. Full details about this dataset can be found at https://doi.org/10.5285/26ce15dd-f994-40e0-8a09-5f257cc1f2ab

Data links

Link Format Preview Updated
Supporting information ZIP 30/7/2026
Download the data 30/7/2026

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Additional information

Source Metadata
XML, HTML
Date added
24 July 2026
Harvest GUID
26ce15dd-f994-40e0-8a09-5f257cc1f2ab
Extent (Latitude)
60.861° to 49.864°
Extent (Longitude)
-8.648° to 1.768°
Dataset reference date (publication)
2022-06-27
Access constraints
If you reuse this data, you should cite: Griffin, A., Kay, A., Bell, V.A., Stewart, E.J., Sayer, P., Carr, S. (2022). Peak flow and probability of exceedance data for Grid-to-Grid modelled widespread flooding events across mainland GB from 1980-2010 and 2050-2080. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre https://doi.org/10.5285/26ce15dd-f994-40e0-8a09-5f257cc1f2ab
Responsible party
(author, pointOfContact, publisher, owner, custodian); Sayers and Partners Consultancy (author, owner)
ISO 19139 resource type
dataset
Metadata language
eng