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Mapped land use, land cover and environmental impacts of multiple UK-extent pathways towards Net Zero by 2050

Publisher
Environmental Information Data Centre
Updated
30 July 2026
Topic
Not set
Licence
Not set

Summary

[This dataset is embargoed until October 30, 2026]. This dataset comprises spatially explicit, modelled outcomes of multiple alternative pathways towards the UK Government's legally binding target of achieving Net Zero in territorial emissions by 2050. These pathways relate specifically to changes in the UK's agriculture, land use and forestry sectors that might contribute towards this target. This dataset includes UK-extent maps of changes in land use, land cover and land management under each pathway, along with modelled spatial data on a range of indicators quantifying environmental impacts on greenhouse gas abatement, soils, water and biodiversity. All data are tiff format rasters at UK extent, mostly at 1 km resolution, and show outcomes for a nominal baseline of 2024 and 3 future time slices (2030, 2042 and 2050). A variety of rule-based, process-based and statistical models were used to create these outputs. Each pathway represents a hypothetical but plausible trajectory of change for the agriculture, land use and forestry sectors, made up of multiple measures that contribute to emissions reductions and increased sequestration. The pathways are exploratory, using contrasting measures and levels of uptake. These modelled data are therefore not predictions, but instead aim to provide insight into what is plausible and probable, facilitate exploration of synergies and trade-offs between progress toward Net Zero and environmental impacts, and ultimately support decision making around viable routes for achieving policy objectives. These data were created under the Land Climate Programme (LCP), a project jointly funded by DESNZ and DEFRA and delivered by a consortium including UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH), Eunomia Research and Consulting Ltd, Exeter University, the Met Office and Forest Research. The finer-resolution data were created with resources under the NERC-funded DRUID project. Full details about this dataset can be found at https://doi.org/10.5285/ca0346fc-e261-45bc-8ee4-f0df6c2ca25d

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Additional information

Source Metadata
XML, HTML
Date added
25 July 2026
Harvest GUID
ca0346fc-e261-45bc-8ee4-f0df6c2ca25d
Extent (Latitude)
60.861° to 49.864°
Extent (Longitude)
-8.648° to 1.768°
Dataset reference date (publication)
2026-07-16
Dataset reference date (released)
2026-10-30
Access constraints
non-commercial use (see https://eidc.ceh.ac.uk/licences/lcm-raster)
Responsible party
(author, pointOfContact, publisher, owner, custodian); Eunomia Research and Consulting (author)
ISO 19139 resource type
dataset
Metadata language
eng